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Weather outlook: November could be fairly calm before El Niño effect takes hold 

With the effects of the El Niño climate pattern not expected to be a factor until December, there doesn’t seem to be any unprecedented weather or surprises in store for us in November besides some frost. But of course we know in New England that can all change.

“November has equal chances to be warmer or cooler than normal and precipitation has an equal chance to be above or below normal,” said Gary Lessor, assistant to the director of Meteorological Studies/Weather Center chief meteorologist. “But it doesn’t look to be extremely warm or extremely cold.” 

According to the Weather Channel near-average temperatures could be seen for m​uch of the East. While there is some uncertainty for what to expect for the rest of the month, November will begin with a blast of colder-than-average air in much of the East.

“The normal high in November for the Meriden area is 52 degrees and the normal low is 33 degrees,” Lessor explained.

According to the National Weather Service the first day of November will be a cool high of 47 degrees and a low of 29 degrees, mostly sunny, with a 30% chance of precipitation during the day. We may see areas of frost after 3 a.m. Wednesday night and before 9 a.m. Thursday morning.

While the sun will be shining on Thursday and Friday the highs will be in the low to mid 50s and the lows will be in the low to high 30s. 

Weather Outlook first week of Nov. (Photo created with Snipping Tool).

Enjoy the craft fairs and AutumnFest at Lyman Orchards starting up this weekend in the mostly sunny weather with highs in the lower 60s and lows in the lower 40s.

This fair fall weather is also a plus for many of the outside sports including the annual Powderpuff games.

“Last year the weather was perfect until the sun went down then it got cold fast,” said Stephanie Lavado, Wallingford Powderpuff coach. “It would be awesome if we had great weather again this year.” 

Coach Lavado said the team is prepared in case our New England weather does decide to do its thing. 

“With the addition of turf fields it makes practicing easier because we don't have to cancel or change our plans with any weather,” she said. “This past weekend we practiced Sunday night in the pouring rain and it didn't change our plans and actually helped to prepare the girls for any and all weather we might encounter for the actual game day.” 

El Nino is expected to bring warmer temperatures than normal and precipitation this winter but not starting until December. According to Lessor we are only going to see about 3.5-4 inches of precipitation for the whole month of November. 

“When I played back in 2005 it was cold and muddy as there were no turf fields yet,” Lavado said. “I do remember my freshman year of high school (fall 2002) we actually had a snow day from school but they shoveled the field and bleachers and we played the game that afternoon.” 

The last snowstorm that occurred in November was on November 15, 2018, according to Lessor.

“Wallingford received 5 inches of snow, Southington received 9 inches and Meriden received 6 to 8 inches,” he said. 

According to Lessor, the record high in November for the Meriden area was 83 degrees on November 2, 1950 and the low was 5 degrees on November 23, 2018. 

While we won’t be seeing record highs we should be comfortable partaking in outdoor activities and wearing our jackets and vests in these average November temperatures.



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